After three straight weeks of winning BTTS acca’s in this column, I’m back with my final attempt of the season. As always, good luck and only ever bet what you can afford to lose.
Atalanta v AC Milan
With Atalanta safe from relegation and AC Milan too far adrift of the Europa League places for the 2015/16 European footballing season, neither team has anything to play for when they meet in Bergamo on Saturday, but both sides have strong BTTS Yes stats and I’m expecting an open game.
Indeed, Atalanta’s last ten games have resulted in both teams scoring, which is enough in itself to justify a bet. Working purely off the last six games of each team, it’s obviously a 6/6 and a 100% strike rate for Atalanta in their last six overall games, with the mark 5/6 and 83.3% in their last six home games.
As for AC Milan, they surprised me by beating Torino 3-0 with ten men at the San Siro last weekend, but both teams have scored in four of their last six overall games for a 66.7% BTTS Yes strike rate and 4/6 away, so there’s a strong chance of it being business as usual again in the BTTS Yes stakes this weekend.
BTTS Yes @ 4/9 with BetVictor
Dortmund v Wolfsburg
Shockingly fighting relegation in the first half of the 2014/15 Bundesliga season, Borussia Dortmund reversed their fortunes to eventually finish seventh and earn a Europa League slot as the next best placed team who didn’t qualify if they don’t win this German cup final against Wolfsburg.
Of course, since they finished second in the German top-flight, Wolfsburg will compete in the 2015/16 UEFA Champions League. Full of goals, Wolfsburg scored and conceded in a recent 2-1 defeat of Dortmund in the Bundesliga.
All in all, while this probably won’t be a high-scoring affair since it’s a cup final, we should expect both teams to score, as they have done in five of the last six head-to-head clashes between Dortmund and Wolfsburg.
Finally, noting that this game is being played at a neutral venue, five of Wolfsburg’s last six games have seen both teams score for an 83.3% BTTS Yes strike rate, while four of Dortmund’s last six competitive contests have been the same for 66.7%.
BTTS Yes @ 8/15 with BetVictor
Real Zaragoza v Las Palmas
Currently sixth in the Spanish Segunda standings, Zaragoza are four points above the seventh-placed team with two games to play, so they need to try and defeat Las Palmas in order to guarantee their participation in the season-ending playoffs.
Las Palmas are fourth in the table and guaranteed a playoff slot, but have a superior head-to-head record over the second-placed team, Girona, and can still seal automatic promotion.
Girona would have to lose both of their remaining games for this to happen, so it’s extremely unlikely, but regardless, Las Palmas still have playoff position to vie for and therefore have motivation to try and win.
In conclusion, both teams have scored in four of the last six head-to-head clashes between Zaragoza and Las Palmas, including in Las Palmas’ 5-3 win in the reverse fixture earlier this season, along with four of Zaragoza’s last six games for a 66.7% BTTS Yes strike rate and 5/6 Las Palmas’ away contests for 83.3%.
BTTS Yes @ 3/5 with BetVictor
