Can you send me a 100/1 accumulator please mate?
After receiving numerous emails about the above heading I thought I’d address it in the form of a full length page once, and then direct all future followers to this piece.
Accumulators. 5 folds, 6 folds, bloody 12 folds. We’ve all done them, and the vast majority have lost far more than we’ve won on them. If only we all kept a record of every accumulator we’ve ever placed and could add up the true cost of this kind of bet!
Yes I know Twitter is inundated with screenshots of huge winning accas (many of them photoshopped I know), and one thing seeing things like this does is make us fall in to the trap of “it could be me”. Now just imagine your Twitter timeline if everybody posted their losing accas!… Absolute meltdown every day.
Bookmakers love accumulators. Period. They love them because they make absolute bundles on them. They love them even more when Percy Green, refuse collector, 58 from Sheffield hits the jackpot with a £120,000 25 fold who’s stake was the price of a daily newspaper. The publicity merely fuels the fire and entices more and more gamblers to go down this route.
Let’s look at the maths. You do a match odds 7 fold. In order for you to win you need all 7 results to fall in your favour. Simple enough. Now let’s see how many combinations of possible outcomes there are with this 7 fold.
The sum here is 3x3x3x3x3x3x3 = 2187
There are 2187 different combinations of results possible in a 7 fold. You’re banking on just one of them.
I like singles. I like singles because they’re simple. I like singles because they are profitable for me. I like having a high strike rate. I like knowing that my losing streak isn’t going to be very long.
“Singles for dough, accas for show”. Remember that. It will serve you well.
Don’t get me wrong, there is a place for accas. If you are a small-time, bit of fun down the pub on a Saturday kind of punter then they are perfect. They are something to look out for, something to cheer on, and something to talk about with your mates. It might even win!
But don’t ever expect to be profitable from accumulators. They serve their purpose, but their main purpose (and this is fact) is to keep the bookmaker in tidy profit.
Now, back to the first paragraph of this piece… “after receiving numerous emails about the subject I thought I’d address it”.
No. I will not be offering you “at least 5 picks per day”.
No. I will not be sending you “an accumulator with odds of around 100”. SMH!
No I will not change my style of betting to suit what you think will make big money. That’s because what you think will make big money will not make big money.
If I thought accumulators were the way forward, then I’d be hammering them. But fortunately for me, my 25 years experience of betting (19 of them as a loser I might add) have actually made me get up off my arse and find my edge. I’ve found it and I’m not about to change it.
I’m happy to share my knowledge with pretty much everyone who shows a real interest in becoming profitable. But I’m not your man if it’s accas you’re after.
I wrote this many years ago in an article, and I’m going to repeat it. Remember this…. “SINGLES FOR DOUGH, ACCAS FOR SHOW”.
Peace and profit my friends.