Here we welcome new tipster Russ Butterworth (@ruscopico_) to GGT. Russ is a keen and profitable punter who takes a highly statistical approach to his betting, which is backed up by the spreadsheets he keeps and the hours of research he puts in analysing football data.
Here is his first article on the both teams to score market for Tuesday night. Let’s hope he has a great start!
Grimsby v Halifax
After the heartache of losing the play off final last season, Grimsby were once again amongst the favourites for promotion this year, and yet despite only 2 defeats in 16 games this term, they sit 7th in the table already 9 points off the early pace setters Forest Green.
The goalless draw at Braintree on Saturday was their 8th stalemate of the season and they certainly seem to be struggling to put teams away, especially on the road.
Halifax are already look like relegation contenders picking up just 10 out of a possible 48 points this season. They have conceded 11 goals in their last 3 league games and the bookies give them little chance of getting anything at Blundell Park on Tuesday.
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However, regardless of the result, the price for BTTS is good and statistically is worth a punt.
Grimsby have scored in 7/8 homes to date this season but have conceded at least 1 goal in 8/8.
Halifax meanwhile have have scored in 5/7 away games this season, conceding in 8/8 and should be buoyed by their 3-1 victory over Altrincham in their last game in the road.
Grimsby should win the game but with two leaky defences, we could see goals.
Bet: Both teams to score at 2.00 with 888sport
Altrincham v Kidderminster
Altrincham are another team who must fear a long season at the wrong end of the division. A 2-0 defeat at Aldershot on Saturday came as no surprise and they have only avoided defeat in 2 of their 8 away games this season.
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That said, at home, they are giving a far better account for themselves, winning 4/8. The loss to Halifax in their most recent home game will be all the more disappointing as their only other home defeats have come against the two best away teams in the division in Forest Green and Braintree who are also the only teams that Altrincham have failed to score against. However, they also leak goals, conceding in 7/8 homes to date
Kidderminster are currently propping up the division and are the only team yet to record a victory this season. Despite this, they’ve picked up more points on the road than at home and with a 50% draw rate, could trip up those who see Altrincham, as a banker.
More importantly they are getting goals as well as conceding them on the road. They have scored in 7/8 away games and unsurprisingly considering their start, have conceded in all 8.
Once again the stats look to suggest a high chance of BTTS in this one.
Bet: Both teams to score at 1.77 with 888sport
Woking v Torquay
Woking had lost their previous 4 games before winning 3-0 at Halifax on Saturday and will be looking to get their home form back on track after losing their last 2. Defeats against Southport and Cheltenham came off the back of a 7 match winning run and with the goals flowing again, they will fancy their chances here. They are scoring an average of 2 goals a game at home this season and have only failed to score in 1/7. While they have only conceded in 4/7 home games, this includes the last 3.
Torquay registered their first win in 5 games away at Southport on the weekend and are certainly looking more comfortable on the road where they have picked up 9 of their 13 points. The away team have scored more than 1 goal in 4/8 and scored in 7/8 away games this year so should fancy getting on the scoresheet here. Having also conceded in 7/8 away games, the chance of a clean sheet looks slim.
Woking will really be looking to win this one but with Torquay should make a fight of it and there could be a few goals.
Bet: Both teams to score at 1.57 with 888sport
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