After last Saturday’s winning BTTS treble, I’m back to try again. This time, I’ve been forced to avoid Spain due to strike talk, but think that I’ve found some likely BTTS winners in other parts of Europe and offer a treble or four fold. Good luck and only ever bet what you can afford to lose.
Balikesirspor v Karabukspor
Balikesirspor are bottom of the Turkish Super League standings and eight points behind the fourth bottom team. Therefore, they badly need to win on Saturday. Of course, we only care about BTTS Yes stats and the last six games of each team are what I look at to ensure form is on our side.
Now, Balikesirspor’s last six games have resulted in both teams scoring for a 100% strike rate, and five of their last six home games have been the same for 83.3%.
Balikesirspor’s opponents this weekend, Karabukspor, are third from bottom in the league standings and six points adrift of the fifteenth placed team in an eighteen team league. Stats wise, four of Karabukspor’s last six games have seen both teams score (66.7%), with 6/6 the tally on their travels for 100%.
BTTS Yes @ 8/13
Sivasspor v Kasimpasa
Home team Sivasspor are nine points above the drop zone with three games to play and virtually safe unless the third bottom team can overcome a twelve goal difference deficit in the three remaining games. As such, you can argue that, realistically, Sivasspor have nothing to play for, but then neither do their opponents this weekend and I’m expecting an open game.
Visitors Kasimpasa are twelfth in the Turkish Super League and safe from relegation with a ten point cushion above the bottom three teams. Notably, Kasimpasa’s last six games have seen both teams score for a 100% strike rate under my criteria, while four of their last six away games have been the same for 66.7%.
Mix that with Sivasspor’s 83.3%, 5/6 BTTS Yes strike rate in their recent home games and factor in yet another 6/6 (100%) in their last six overall games and you can see why I have to include this game in the acca.
BTTS Yes @ 1/2
Wolfsburg v Borussia Dortmund
After beating Paderborn 3-1 on their travels last weekend, the Wolves are just two points clear of the third placed Bundesliga team, Borussia Monchengladbach, but are guaranteed direct entry to the 2015/16 UEFA Champions League as they can’t finish lower than third with a seven point gap over fourth placed Bayer Leverkusen and just two games to play.
So, to a point, Wolfsburg can relax, but they’ll still want second place and for our purposes, we can take heart in the fact that four of Wolfsburg’s last six games have seen both teams score for a 66.7% BTTS Yes strike rate, with four of their last six home fixtures following suit.
Borussia Dortmund have recovered after a terrible first half of the 2014/15 season and are now three points off an automatic Europa league place, which Augsburg occupy, and two points behind rivals Schalke who occupy a qualifying round slot in the same tourney.
So Wolves needn’t win, but they score and concede regularly and should be motivated in front of their home faithful, while Dortmund have every reason to try and win.
The reverse fixture between these two ended 2-2 and 5/6 head-to-head games have seen both teams score, so add 4/6 recent Dortmund away games being the same and we should get to see 6/7 H2H BTTS winners in an open game.
BTTS Yes @ 1/2
A £10 treble potentially returns £36.50
If you prefer, add Stuttgart v Hamburg to make a potential £60.90 return
Stuttgart v Hamburg
Bottom club Stuttgart are just one point away from escaping the drop-zone in a very tight relegation battle between five to six teams and they increased their chances of survival by beating Mainz 2-0 last weekend.
Hamburg, on the other hand, are fourteenth in the Bundesliga standings and one of the teams a mere point above Stuttgart. As such, this is a relegation ‘six-pointer,’ as they like to say in England, that neither team can afford to lose.
This can, of course, lead to a nervous game with few chances, but then Stuttgart are pretty poor defensively and BTTS Yes in five of their last six games for an 83.3% strike rate is evidence of that. At home, four of Stuttgart’s last six games have seen both teams score (66.7%), while Hamburg’s last three games have been the same.
A few 1-0 wins in head-to-head competition is worrying, although such things shouldn’t count in reality, but again, this is a fourth choice and extra pick if you want more than a treble.
BTTS Yes @ 4/6