With a big night ahead for some teams battling in the quest to qualify for next years European Championships and some lower league football, the Friday night coupon could be a minefield for outright winners, although we believe to have found three games that carry an indicative outcome for a tasty priced over 2.5 goals treble.
Bohemians v St Patricks 7:45pm
First up, we visit the league of Ireland where Bohemians square off against St Patricks. The League of Ireland are heading towards the business end of the season, so in some respects the hosts do not have much to play for where the standings lie. St Pats have fallen short in four of the last five games as the gap widens for Europa League qualification next season.
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The pair met earlier this season and it ended 1-0. My concern with this is, both sides have very little to play for, so my angle here is the pressure is off certainly for the hosts. St Pats are priced as favourites and have failed to score in just once in the last fourteen.
The hosts have netted in all of the last seven, and with four draws on the spin, gaffer Keith Long will not want to disappoint the fans on Friday night and will fancy their chances against St Pats with their recent tally of results.
With recent trend in results, both sides can play some more open football, and both have a better than 50% overall for three or more per game. With the bookies pricing at 10/11 apiece, and with the tendency for Bohemians to score over 40% of their goals in the first third and St Pats having a similar stat in the final third, there is more than enough room for three or more in this.
Moldova v Russia 7:45pm
Russia still have some work to do to pocket second spot in group G and will need to improve on the reverse fixture result of a 1-1 draw. I think they will not want to take too many chances with a last game encounter versus Montenegro, who themselves are still in with a narrow shout in the group.
Russia could be seen here as unpredictable, since they sacked Fabio Capello back in July, but this did not stop the side flying out the blocks in a 7-1 drubbing to Liechtenstein back in September. For a run of poor results as the official statement for the sacking of Capello, his replacement Leonid Viktorovich Slutsky has his instruction and that is to make the European Championships without fail.
I am confident Russia will win this, and delighted on the price on offer for three or more goals. The home side will keep it tight, although the hosts attack has culminated in just three goals scored, and with the chance Moldova may get lucky on home soil, the Russians may well continue to make a statement, win and win big!
Liechtenstein v Sweden 7:45pm
The sides have only been draw once before this qualifying campaign, where Sweden have a perfect record, with two of the three seeing three or more goals. The last encounter was a win to nil for the Swedes netting twice.
At the business end of the qualifying campaign, Russia are Sweden’s main threats for second place, and is effectively out of their hands now. Sweden has no choice but to go for it in this match and will rely on Ibrahimović for the goals with seven to his credit.
The hosts have nothing but pride to play for, so Sweden will need all their experience in a comfortable win and could be Ibrahimović’s last chance to feature in a major competition for his country. The odds imply a strong chance of over 2.5 here and adding this into the treble pays almost 5/1 at 888sport.
Bohemians/St Pats – over 2.5 goals 10/11
Moldova/Russia – over 2.5 goals 28/29 888sport
Liechtenstein/Sweden – over 2.5 goals 8/13 SkyBet