With a profitable weekend from my two columns over the weekend which saw us bag our over 2.5 goals treble on Saturday and finish just one goal short of a clean sweep on the BTTS treble on Sunday, I’m in confident mood of claiming some more profit.
With match day two of the Champions League and some English league action, there is more than enough on the coupon to consider.
We begin at Fratton Park, where Portsmouth welcome Exeter City in League two, where the hosts and leaders aim to build on their last win at the weekend with another. Exeter look to curtail a losing blip of two successive defeats.
Looking at the over and under 2.5 goal market, the bookies edge on over, although very marginally. The form of the last six suggests the true price for this should be evens either way. With Bookie margins and over rounds, they have to edge a favourite and Betfred suggest over 2.5 is 1.8. The last six for both, has seen three over and three under for the hosts, with a similar record for the visitors.
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We were edging on considering the under market, which is evens, but with such strong stats, Portsmouth have seen over 2.5 on 75% of their home games, with 100% of Exeter’s away games seeing at least three goals.
On the goals scored and conceded the home side have seen thirteen goals in four games, whereas the visitors have seen fifteen goals in four.
Next up is a visit to Colchester who are the team to back on the goals market averaging a whopping 89% of games with three or more goals overall. The visitors Bradford have seen half of their away goals on the over line.
Looking at the last six games, all of Colchester’s games saw 3 or more, with a more conservative two from six from the visitors. I do feel that Colchester can certainly net goals as well as leak goals, with Bradford seeing six from nine games see both sides net and seven from nine for the hosts.
With the both teams to score stats, and Colchester’s free flowing style of playing, surely three goals is a reachable target under the bright lights. The hosts do boast early goal scored times of nineteen minutes and average conceded timings of just ten minutes. If stats follow suit this could be an ideal game to trade with especially with Bradford’s average goal scored time on the road at fifteen minutes.
The majority of bookmakers are around 1.8, although SkyBet are at least 1.86 for this goal line.
Last up and staying in League one, I have considered a low scoring affair between Peterborough and Bury, which in my opinion is correctly priced at even money.
The last six meetings have seen half seeing fewer than three goals, although the sides have not met since 2010. More recently in the last six games respectively, Peterborough’s form has been patchy with two wins, two draws and two losses with three from six seeing more than two goals.
Bury have a similar record on goals in their last six, although they are on a five game winning streak. On the basis of Bury’s excellent form they have conceded just three goals in the last five and could make it tight for the hosts to break them down.
Both sides on their home and away tendencies appear to take some time to get going, so the longer this stays goal-less, the better for us from a trading situation! Back the under 2.5 market at evens with Bet Victor.
Adventure treble bettors will get odds of 6.77, although I would not put you off perming just three doubles instead, where if two or more are correct it will yield a profit.
Over 2.5 goals at Portsmouth – 1.85
Over 2.5 goals at Colchester – 1.8
Under 2.5 goals at Peterborough – 2.00