We kick off this week’s feature with a trip to Colchester, who entertain Bury. Colchester are fast becoming a regular feature in this column, and for good reason. The stats for both sides are fairly strong with 80% of Colchester games seeing three or more and 60% of the visitors overall.
On the home/away tendencies for goals, both sides rate at 60%, so with an implied 54% on the betting price for this to land may by some be perceived as a shade of value based on this factor alone.
In the last six games respectively 5 of the last 6 have landed on over’s for the hosts, and 4 out of 6 from the visitors. Both sides are on form also, with Bury winning their last 6 in all competitions, and Colchester on an unbeaten run of five games.
There will be plenty of fire power with George Moncur and Leon Clarke both set to feature this weekend with five and seven goals respectively. With three of the last four meetings in recent history passing three goals, this game could feature in a few accumulators this weekend; hopefully the readers accas! If you fancy backing this as a single, Betfair Sportsbook are offering 5/6.
Next up is a trip to the South West, where Torquay of the Vanarama National League or Conference as people still call it host the former home of the British Army Aldershot Town, in what could be a feast of goals.
Bookmakers have this game as a pick-em game at 7/4 apiece with the draw standing out. The best price odds for three or more are 4/5 with SkyBet.
The hosts boast a 62% overall with a 50% record of over 2.5 goals at home. The visitors have a 77% success rate on three or more in all games with a confidence boosting 86% on the road. Interestingly 57% of Aldershot games have gone over 3.5 goals.
Three of the last six Torquay games have seen 3 or more goals, with all 6 registering at least two goals and 5 of 6 sorted in the both teams to score department. Five of the last six Aldershot games have seen three or more, although the interesting stat is, the hosts are without a win in ten, with the visitors looking to overturn two losses on the spin.
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With both needing a win, the visitors will bring a few fans to the Plainmoor ground, where both teams could do with the win, with both defences with obvious weaknesses.
Last up we head to Scotland, where the Scottish League one has seen a 100% strike rate on one or more goals, 85% on at least two goals and 68% on three plus.
We look at the leaders Ayr United to help bring home the treble, who welcome the Blue Brazil to Somerset Park, where the hosts are unbeaten in their opening four home ties seeing sixteen goals in the process.
Cowdenbeath have failed to register a win on the road thus far, leaking sixteen goals in four games, and netting five in reply.
The sides recent two meetings both pocketed three or more goals, and with both sides experiencing a 75% success rate this season overall, with identical home and away respective stats, surely this is a game that will be a formality!
The best price treble is just under 4/1 at SkyBet
Colchester/Bury – Over 2.5 goals
Torquay/Aldershot – Over 2.5 goals
Ayr/Cowdenbeath – Over 2.5 goals